Margot Robbie in ‘Birds of Prey (And The Fantabulous Emancipation of One Harley Quinn)’
Alas, Birds of Prey did get a slightly hoped-for holiday bump for its second weekend. It’s not collapsing like Fantastic Four or Dark Phoenix, and it’s getting a mild second wind over the President’s Day weekend. The Margot Robbie-starring DC Films flick, which has been renamed Harley Quinn: Birds of Prey in theater marquees and online theatrical websites (for easier SEO searching), earned another $6.35 million (-51%) on its second Friday, bringing the film’s eight-day domestic total to $48.5 million. Presuming the domestic/overseas split (around 40/60 as of Thursday) has held, Cathy Yan and Christina Hodson’s well-reviewed and well-liked film crossed $100 million worldwide on Thursday and now sits with around $120 million.
That Friday-to-Friday drop is a lot closer to a LEGO sequel (-48% for LEGO Movie 2 and LEGO and -49% for LEGO Batman Movie) than John Wick: Chapter 2 (-62%) or the Fifty Shades sequels (-68% in 2017 and 69% in 2018). Birds of Prey is an R-rated movie so it won’t get the kid-powered matinee boost of a LEGO flick. While any Valentine’s Day boost it got from yesterday won’t factor into today and tomorrow. Nonetheless, we could be looking at a drop closer to John Wick 2 (-46%) than Fifty Shades Darker (-56%), for an $18 million Fri-Sun/$22.5 million Fri-Mon weekend for a $65 million domestic and (estimated) $163 million worldwide total.
Both Fifty Shades sequels eventually crossed $100 million domestic, although John Wick 2 earned $92 million domestic. John Wick is a domestic-centric franchise (it, like the LEGO movies, tends to earn 55% of its global cume in North America) while the Fifty Shades movies earned less than 1/3 of their money domestically. Both Fifty Shades sequels got huge mid-week boosts from Valentine’s Day, earning over/under $11 million on February 14, which Birds of Prey will not/did not. I’m not comfortable breathing a proverbial sigh of relief until we get the overseas updates tomorrow, but the Friday hold was relatively encouraging, pointing at a domestic finish closer to $90 million than $75 million.
Will Smith and Martin Lawrence in ‘Bad Boys For Life’
Bad Boys For Life earned another $4.03 million (+38%!). The $90 million Will Smith/Martin Lawrence sequel has now earned $173.8 million domestic, giving it an unadjusted domestic cume above John Wick: Chapter 3 ($171 million in 2019), The Matrix ($171.4 million in 1999) and Air Force One ($173 million in 1997. It’ll pass (the PG-13) Hobbs & Shaw ($174 million) today. In terms of R-rated actioners, it’s now behind only 22 Jump Street ($191 million in 2014), Terminator 2: Judgment Day ($204 million in 1991), Logan ($226 million in 2017), Matrix Reloaded ($279 million in 2003), Deadpool 2 ($324 million in 2018), American Sniper ($350 million in 2014/2015) and Deadpool ($363 million in 2016).
It will earn another $10.5 million (-13%) in its fifth weekend and $12 million over the holiday for a $182 million domestic cume. So, yeah, barring a complete collapse after the holiday, it’s going to become the first “new” January release (not counting American Sniper, which was an Oscar season platformer) to ever to pass $200 million domestic. Especially considering the eventual competition, it is entirely likely that No Time to Die, Black Widow and F9 may not reach wherever Bad Boys 3 ends up in North America, even if all three should crush it overseas. Like John Wick, the goal with Bad Boys 4 will be giving it an overseas boost akin to Fast & Furious in 2009.
George MacKay in Sam Mendes’ ‘1917’
Universal and DreamWorks
It may have lost Best Picture, but 1917 is a winner. Sam Mendes’ $90 million World War I thriller earned $2.46 million (-7%) on Friday for a $7.8 million (-15%) Fri-Sun/$9 million Fri-Mon weekend. That’ll give Universal and DreamWorks’ star-free, real-world and R-rated actioner $145 million domestic. Had it won Best Picture at last Sunday’s Oscars, it would have been the biggest-grossing, in unadjusted domestic earnings, winner since Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King ($371 million) in 2004. Universal’s Dolittle earned $1.62 million (+11%) on Friday for a $6.28 million (-4%) Fri-Sun/$8 million Fri-Mon weekend for a $73.44 million domestic cume. It’s actually almost leggy, if you ignore that $175 million budget.
Dwayne Johnson, Karen Gillan and Awkwafina in ‘Jumanji The Next Level’
Jumanji: The Next Level crossed $300 million domestic yesterday, and it’ll earn a $7.15 million (+29%)/$9.04 million Fri-Mon weekend for a $309 million domestic cume. The retention from its predecessor and its overall gross alongside Frozen II and Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker is remarkable. Even with those two titans in theaters, Jumanji 3 earned about as much as the Hobbit prequels ($303 million in 2012, $258 million in 2013 and $255 million in 2014) and Aquaman ($335 million in 2018). Those films were the official “big year-end fantasy spectacular” offerings of their respective years, while Jumanji: The Next Level was essentially the also-ran alongside Star Wars and Frozen. And yet, it didn’t miss a beat.
NEON’s Parasite took full advantage of its Best Picture triumph over this holiday weekend, expanding to 2,001 theaters in its 19th weekend. Bong Joon-ho’s thriller earned another $1.7 million (+322%) for a likely $5.87 million (+276%) Fri-Sun/$6.94 million Fri-Mon weekend to bring its cume up to a whopping $44.628 million. This despite being available on DVD and VOD. Inflation notwithstanding, it’ll pass Pan’s Labyrinth ($37 million in 2006) and Instructions Not Included ($44.46 million in 2013) to become the fourth-biggest foreign-language film ever in North America. And unless it drops dead, it should pass Hero ($53 million in 2004) and Life is Beautiful ($57 million in 1999) for second place behind Crouching Tiger, Hidden Dragon ($128 million in 2000).